Our forecasts are not direct predictions of rain/snow. Nine Ways To Tell The Difference. CLIMAS_report_2022_final.pdf Southwest Climate Outlook October 2022 Elizabeth Hoy, a senior scientist at NASA,. AccuWeather's winter forecast. The cooling of these waters can have an atmospheric domino effect that influences weather patterns across the globe. Peter Geiger, the editor of the Farmers Almanac,said there wasnt much particularly interesting or new forecasted for the area this fall, with generally fair weather from September through October. 27, 2022 The posted Quail Forever forecast of a bird hatch in NM and AZ is pretty bleak with drought conditions continuing throughout the Southwest. Flagstaff, AZ Winter Weather Forecast | AccuWeather Today WinterCast Hourly Daily Radar MinuteCast Monthly Air Quality Health & Activities Winter Storm Warning Snow and Ice Outlook 12 - 18. Which City Is the Worst for Fall Allergies This Year? The full-year 2022 figures for these figures came to $2.33 and $2.11 per diluted share, for y/y gains of 16%.The funds from operations figures are important because they fund UDR's dividend. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 35% chance that they will end up above normal and a 32% chance that they will end up below normal. There were only seven days that recorded triple digit highs, which is eight days below the normal of 15 days for August. The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be up below normal and a 33% chance that they will end up above normal. By contrast, much of the southern third of the nation from the Southwest into the Southern Plains, Southeast and Florida is expected to have a warmer-than-average January. Southern Arizona is a mixed bag in the winter sometimes you can get a nice, mild winter or a chilly, snowy one! That's more in line with what's typically expected in La Nia winters. Combined with last years August total of 3.85", this is the first back-to-back Augusts since 2005-06 to be above normal. That is 100% free to view. On the 6th, the 20th & 21st and the 28th & 29th. The zero rainfall recorded at the International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, marked the 30th time since 1895 that no measurable rain was recorded at the official site. The February outlook for the area, issued by the Climate Prediction Center on January 31st, called for a 47% chance that temperatures would be above normal & 20% chance that temperatures would be below normal. On social media:Find us on Facebook, Twitter, Instagram and YouTube. Therefore, we will likely see periods that are warmer or colder in each respective region of the country when compared to what is shown above. The previous highest amount for October was 7 days in 1983, 2000 & 2015. This is the second consecutive October to be below normal. Friday, April 08, 2022 Flagstaff Weather -- April 8, 2022 Student forecaster Julia Castro has the latest on the weekend weather in northern Arizona. Here are some temperature highlights for the month: The monthly average temperature of 61.7 is two-tenths of a degree below normal and ranks as the 24th warmest March on record, tied with 2019. Precipitation across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged from 1.75" to 4.00" with the highest totals occurring north of Tangerine Road extending east from Dove Mountain in Marana to the northern part of Oro Valley. IsArizonaa good place to visit in the winter? Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.48" is 1.20" BELOWnormal and ranks as the 17th driest January/February period on record. NWS Tucson Arizona. Equal chances use the map provided below. According to its forecast map, Arizona's fall theme will be cool with "decent precipitation." Peter Geiger, the editor of the Farmers' Almanac, said there wasn't much particularly interesting. These drought conditions developed after a drier-than-normal 2020 monsoon season and a dry 2020/2021 winter season. Discover our growing collection of curated stories on Washington State. The Weather Companys primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment and the importance of science to our lives. NWS Tucson Arizona520 North Park Ave, Suite 304Tucson, AZ 85719(520) 670-6526Comments? For the third year in a row, the La Nia weather phenomenon is expected to bring a lack of precipitation and warmer-than-average temperatures for not just Arizona, but the entire U.S. Southwest. Areas from the Gulf Coast to the Southern Plains and mountain West are most favored to see above-average temperatures for the entire three-month winter period from December through February, according to an outlook released Thursday by The Weather Company, an IBM Business, and Atmospheric G2. For the most part, it looks like fairly, you know, pleasant, quiet kind of weather in September and a good part of October, Geiger said. These were the first record temperatures set/tied in 2022. Youll definitely want to check out some of our favorite winter towns in Arizona to get some ideas. Since we never quite know what to expect, this upcoming season couldn't possibly catch us off-guard right? Welcome back to the site after the holiday week. Local News Sports Politics Opinion For Subscribers . While this isn't always the case every time La Nia is present, it is representative of the average impacts. But if it weakens, that could spell a colder winter for some. Toggle navigation. View detailed forecast, WeatherTAB 2023. Amounts ranged from 4" to 9" with localized higher amounts up to 14". Over the next 10 days high temperatures gradually warmed through the 60's into the 70's peaking on the 27th with a monthly high temperature of 79. Even though our winter is forecast to be on the mild side, it won't be without a few cold spells. Our weather forecast can give you a great sense of what weather to expect in Arizona in February 2024.. So, what about this month? We start off the new year here with the January 2022 forecast. A record cool high temperature was set on the 24th with a high of 67 breaking the record of 68 from 1936 & 1978. January climate data across southeast Arizona. Ninety-nine percent of the state is experiencing some level of drought with more than half of the state experiencing an Exceptional drought, which is the worst level. The recently released NOAA U.S. Winter Outlook made the predictions Thursday, bringing the news that widespread extreme drought is expected to persist throughout the West. Outside of work, you can likely find her curled up on the sofa with a hot cup of coffee, watching a crime TV show or scary movie. Rainfall amounts across the metro during the first three months of the hydrologic water year has ranged from 1.10" to 3.50". July climate data across southeast Arizona. Sorry, the location you searched for was not found. How to get these alerts with a premium subscription via e-mail by micro-climate zone AND/OR Get the GPS models for all events on your device enabled? Over the last 14 days there was only one day that was above normal. Global Warming Begins at the Poles - Ends at the Poles 2022-2024. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts a 47% chance of above normal temperatures and a 45% chance of below normal precipitation. Blistering, Record-Breaking Heat Lytton, B.C. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded a trace of rain which is well below normal and ranks as the 16th driest November on record. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issued a La Nia Watch on Thursday for the potential re-emergence of La Nia conditions by the fall. The 1981-2010 climate normal period was used from the late 2011 to early 2021. The first day of winter and the shortest day of the year, officially arrives on December 21, 2022, but that doesn't always mean that the cold temperatures and snow storms will wait until then. Temperature extremes for Fall ranged from a high of 103 on September 6th to a low of 36 on November 26th. Click on hotel for more details. This ranks as the 11th driest water year period (October 1st to September 30th) on record. Precipitation: Equal chances use the map provided below. Severe thunderstorms hit portions on the metro area on the 21st and 26th. Avg Low Temps 35 to 50 Avg High Temps 15 to 25 Avg Low Temps 0 to 10 Rain Frequency 1 to 3 days Click or Tap on any day for a detailed forecast. Well, until it's August. OnlyInYourState may earn compensation through affiliate links in this article. All NOAA. RELATED: La Nina is here and it's not good news for Arizona's drought, The Official NOAA Winter Outlook for 2022-2023 has been released and as of right now the odds are slightly tilted towards below normal precipitation and above normal temperatures for the desert southwest. Colder weather is predicted to come in between Nov. 16 and 19 and settle in for good come Nov. 24 to 27. It will definitely seem like it in January though, but we still have February, March, and April left, that of which can easily add more storms into the forecast. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high 94 on the 3rd to a low of 43 on the 25th. This is because the jet stream, or storm track, stays to the north of our area, essentially making for wetter-than-normal conditions across the Pacific Northwest, but drier than normal conditions for the Desert Southwest. 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec December The forecast for precipitation is a 24% chance that they will be above normal and a 43% chance that they will end up below normal. Weather Forecast Legend WeatherTAB helps you plan activities on days with the least risk of rain. The average yearly temperature through the end of November of 72.9 ranks as the 11th warmest on record. The second Pacific storm of the month moved across the area on the 12th bringing with it widespread valley rain and mountain snow. Meanwhile, the southern U.S. is expected to have a warmer than usual winter. A couple of weak weather systems moved across the area on the 28th through 30th bringing the area another shot of valley rain and mountain snow. With that in mind, let's dig into the month-by-month details and follow up with some of the factors driving this forecast. Will the huge Tongan volcano eruption last January have a role? The average yearly temperature, through the end of August, of 73.5 is 1.0 above normal and ranks as the 6th warmest on record. Keep in mind this outlook is an overall three-month trend. There should be enough snow on the ground still if you're looking to hit the slopes, but any further lashing will (hopefully) hold off for a little while longer. Geiger said the almanac predicts snow this winter in northern Arizona between Nov. 20 and 23, and snow in higher elevation areas would continue into early December. You also get the member section, which has controllable models like rain, wind, snow, in high resolution along with a GPS feature which is updated when an event is in the area The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, has recorded 5.61" is just under 3" below normal and ranks as the 13th driest January to September on record. In December, the best chance of at least somewhat colder than usual temperatures is expected in the East, from the Great Lakes to the Northeast and mid-Atlantic states. Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. The table below shows the breakdown for highs, low maximums and high minimums. Above normal moisture values for early October combined with several atmospheric disturbances moving across the area produced isolated to scattered showers or thunderstorms on a daily basis during the first ten days of the month. The 30-year-old Musgrove is coming off the best season of his career and a stellar postseason run that included 7.0 dominant innings in a winner-take-all Wild Card Game 3 against the Mets in New York. For the first time since 2010, September recorded more triple digit high temperatures (8) than August did (7). Arizona Weather in Tucson Weather in Tucson in December 2022 Tucson Weather Forecast for December 2022 is based on statistical data. 47.9 Degrees C is 118.2 degrees F. Wow! 3rd Coldest January- February on Record in 2021. Not all risky days will have rain/snow. Please select one of the following: Tucson, AZ Standard Radar (low bandwidth), NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The forecast panned out well with Spring 2022 coming in warmer and drier than normal. Long-Range Weather Forecast 2023 for Places in Arizona Ajo, AZ Apache Junction, AZ Arizona City, AZ Avondale, AZ Avra Valley, AZ Benson, AZ Big Park, AZ Bisbee, AZ Buckeye, AZ Bullhead City, AZ Camp Verde, AZ Casa Grande, AZ Casas Adobes, AZ Catalina, AZ Catalina Foothills, AZ Cave Creek, Maricopa County, AZ Chandler, AZ Chinle, AZ Chino Valley, AZ The first five months were rather dry with the airport only recording 0.67" or 2" below normal. The seasonal average temperature of 71.0 goes into the record books as the 5th warmest Spring on record. Global emissions have grown in most years since 1900 and have accelerated over time, according to data from IEA. There were six days of triple digit high temperatures which is slightly above normal. Click on the images below for larger view. Here are some of the monthly temperature highlights during 2022: A total of sixteen daily record temperatures were set or tied during 2022. Every year, the Farmers Almanac, which has been printed since 1818, attempts to answer that question with weather predictions based on generations of perception, experience, and common sense, according to its website. NOTE: The Winter 2022 Tier for MEMBERS and ANYONE INTERESTED is OPEN FOR JANUARY THROUGH END FEBRUARY WITH REDUCED SEASONAL TIER RATES. We say absolutely! The video covers both precipitation and temperature predictions, polar vortex, arctic blasts, typical snowfall, and regions that will see wamr and dry conditions for winter 2022 - 2023. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from 0.10" to 0.75 ". The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 4.13" which ranks as the 52nd driest Summer on record. Check out some of our favorite places to go camping in Arizona for inspiration. According to The Farmer's Almanac, Arizona's 2021-2022 winter season will bring along a "polar coaster" with temperature swings lasting well into March of 2022. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, was on the dry side as just over one and a third of an inch /1.34"/ was recorded. Spring ended on a streak of 63 consecutive days with no rain being recorded at the International airport. Southern Arizona is a mixed bag in the winter sometimes you can get a nice, mild winter or a chilly, snowy one! This ranks as the 5th warmest monsoon on record, tied with 2011. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 104 on the 6th and 30th to a low of 70 on the 23rd. The snowpack in the Upper Colorado River Basin was at 133 percent of the 30-year historical average as of Monday, and sits at 101 percent of what the basin has received on average through an . Tell us your thoughts in the comments section below, then check out how beautiful the Grand Canyon in winter is. Scattered light showers and high elevation mountain snow occurred on the evening of the 23rd and the morning of the 24th were associated with a passing cold front. So here is the breakdown If you want to fix your roof, this is the best month to do so just in-case feb/mar/apr become active again, Southern California Mostly cloudy. The possibilities are all there you just need to discover them. The Winter seasonal forecast for the area, issued November 18th, called for a 41% chance of above normal temperatures & a 48% chance of below normal precipitation. The 2022-2023 U.S. Winter Outlook map for precipitation shows wetter-than-average conditions are most likely in western Alaska, the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies, Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. The average wind speed was 8.1 mph which is slightly below the average was 8.2 mph. Dry conditions prevailed from the 11th to the 14th before an upper level low moved across the area bringing scattered showers, isolated thunderstorms and small hail on the 15th & 16th. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 4.80" is just under two & a third inches below normal and ranks as the 19th driest January through August period on record. We are going to show you their forecast for the upcoming winter, but first, a warning. Detailed Phoenix Weather Forecast for November 2022 - day/night temperatures, precipitations - World-Weather.info. The forecast panned out well with Winter 2021-2022 coming in warmer and drier than normal. December climate data across southeast Arizona, Winter climate data across southeast Arizona. A Strong 2024 La Nina and a new "Cold Pacific Ocean Phase" will usher in Dangerous . Calendar overview of Months Weather Forecast. Snowfall will be below normal in most areas that normally receive snow, with the snowiest periods in early to mid-January and early February. Get Downloadable Images and More Here. One daily temperature record was set. The atmosphere's response, which ultimately matters for our weather patterns, may resemble a winter without a La Nia. The yearly high temperature was 111 on June 16th while the yearly low temperature was 26 on February 3rd. The water year rainfall total 2.03" ranks as the 9th driest on record. Multiple locations were found. As is usually the case during the summer thunderstorm season rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from 3.00" to 9.00" with localized amounts between 9" and 11" along the lower elevations of the Catalina and Rincon mountains. The most frigid weather will likely arrive in late January, and it could be rather brutal. AccuWeather long-range forecasters are predicting that 40 to 50 inches will accumulate in the city, around the average snowfall amount of 49.2 inches. The newest edition of the 230-year-old series projects the 2021-22 winter as a particularly cold one, dubbing it the "season of shivers." The almanac's editor, Janice Stillman, says it could even . Best for planning. He also said that in its more than 200 years of printing, only seven people have done the weather, with each working for about 30 or 40 years andthey have applied that sameformula. While there were no companion predictions for central and southern Arizona, Geiger said the cold from the north will likely permeate the south, making it comparatively cold for the states lower deserts. Heading into the last month of the 2022 Monsoon the September monthly outlook, issued by the Climate Prediction Center, called for "leaning above normal" for precipitation and temperature. #azwx #cawx https://t.co/G7FkHhFGSt. The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) forecasts enhanced probabilities for above normal temperatures for the entire year. On average, the Tucson airport records two days with thunderstorms. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 77 on the 7th to a low of 31 on the 2nd. SUMMARY OF THE OUTLOOK FOR NON-TECHNICAL USERS. This is the most of any calendar month thus far in the 21st century. This cold front brought a cooler air mass with morning lows on the 25th being in the upper 30's to mid 40's. Amounts ranged from 3" to 8" with localized higher amounts up to 12". Detailed Weather Forecast for February 8 in Az Zubayr, Mufazat al Barah, Iraq - temperature, wind, atmospheric pressure, humidity and precipitations - World-Weather.info . Even as we swelter through the last stretch of summer's "dog days," the upcoming winter outlooks for the 2022-2023 season from the Farmers' Almanac and The Old Farmer's Almanac are enough to send shivers down one's spine. The upcoming El-Nino phase should make problems with drought mainly in the grain and corn belt in the USA in the second half of the season in 2022 and in 2023, while the Agriculture stress index in the southern USA should be more favorable, contrary to the years 2020, 2021 and the first half of 2022. The forecast for precipitation is a 36% chance that they will be above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. If you're looking forward to snow, mark January on your calendars. I hope you had a great Christmas and a Happy New Year so far. The wather in Arizona in January can vary between cold and nice weather days. December 2021 Weather Pattern Forecast Outlook For Southern California; December Arctic Blasts and Storms, FACEBOOK PAGES TO JOIN! Dating back to 1910, every year has had a least one daily rainfall record be broken. On average, there are 0 snowy days in Arizona in January. The states climate is varied and unique, featuring many different biomes and environments. Copyright 2021 Scripps Media, Inc. All rights reserved. She attended college in the Houston area and changed her major twice (psychology, computer science, and finally criminal justice) before taking a leap of faith and dropping out to pursue a career in freelance writing. The yearly rainfall total of 6.14" at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, ranks as the 10th driest January through November period on record. Essentially, the formula uses sunspot activity andthe effect the moon has on the earth to be able to predict weather about two years in advance. READ MORE Monday, March 28, 2022 Flagstaff Weather -- March 28, 2022 The average yearly temperature, through the end of September, of 74.7 is 1.1 above normal and ranks as the 6th warmest on record, tied with 2016. KNXV According to the CPC, there is a 66% chance that. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Fetch the Scottsdale, Arizona daily observations from AerisWeather. Its the best time of year to visit if youre a fan of hiking, for example. Gilbert teen's dream comes true as he takes the field, Suspected drunk driver dies after crashing into Tempe bus stop, police say, Wet weather forces SRP to release water from Bartlett Dam, La Nina is here and it's not good news for Arizona's drought, Heat-related deaths hit historic high in 2021. The monthly average temperature of 85.8 is 1.1 BELOW normal ranks as the 38th warmest August on record. Gone are the ridiculously hot days, replaced with pleasant, mild ones perfect for hitting the trails in places you generally shouldnt hike in the summer (Phoenix comes to mind). There are indications that weak cutoff systems under the raging jet could bring more precipitation to Tucson than say even Phoenix, but the amount just doesnt look so high, but bears watching for that area sometime mid-month. Last year, the Almanac predicted many of the 2021-2022 winter storms, most notably: the early-season nor'easter in the end of October, and the unusual blizzard in the last week of April (in parts of Montana, Wyoming, and the Dakotas). In a couple of words: its nice! The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 35% chance that they will end up above normal and a 32% chance that they will end up below normal. Officially, 7.41" of rain was recorded at the International airport which ranks, in the 128 year climatic record period (1895-2022) for Tucson, as the 13th driest year on record. The number could've been higher as there were eight days that recorded a high of 99. However, if it does rain/snow during the month, expect most of it to occur on higher risk days. The Climate Assessment for the Southwest (CLIMAS), a well-established and innovative inter- and transdisciplinary climate research team, is looking for a Program Manager to join our team. Subscribe to azcentral.com today. Thank you! Katie Lawrence is a Southeast Texas native who graduated 18th in her high school class with a GPA of 4.25. While it's true that large volcanic eruptions have historically had a temporary cooling effect on earth's climate, that's not the case for the Tongan eruption. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 48% chance that they will end up above normal and a 19% chance that they will end up below normal. Weather Today Weather Hourly 14 Day Forecast Yesterday/Past Weather Climate (Averages) Currently: 36 F. La Nia - the periodic cooling of the equatorial Pacific Ocean waters - is in play as one of the primary drivers for the winter outlook once again this year. The National Weather Service in Phoenix predicts that Arizona is going to have a very wet and active monsoon season this summer, with nearly a 70% chance of precipitation expected to reach near. In a couple of words: its nice! The average Fall temperature of 71.3 is 1.0 below the 1991-2020 normal. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 44% chance that they will end up above normal and a 23% chance that they will end up below normal. . This is in sharp contrast to the previous water year which was rather wet with the airport recording 14.23". The 2021-22 water year ended up on the dry side with 6.97" being reported at the airport. How do you feel about the upcoming milder, drier (especially drier than this last monsoon season, hoo boy) winter we might have? Additionally the airport monthly total extended the streak of below normal rainfall for March to "18" straight. Perhaps the snow will even reach the desert lowlands! Winter- It's Coming! (100 percent delivery time) MAIN WEBSITE: Dont forget. Temperature extremes ranged from a high of 85 on December 1st to a low of 26 on February 3rd. Colder air and blocking weather pattern often develop when the polar vortex is weak. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a half an inch (0.50") with a localized spots, especially in the foothills, recording up to nine-tenths of an inch (0.90").